William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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GOOD NUMBERS – AT 7:33 P.M. ET:  The Gallup people counters now tell us that the GOP has taken an "unprecedented" lead in the congressional generic ballot:

PRINCETON, NJ -- Republicans lead by 51% to 41% among registered voters in Gallup weekly tracking of 2010 congressional voting preferences. The 10-percentage-point lead is the GOP's largest so far this year and is its largest in Gallup's history of tracking the midterm generic ballot for Congress...

...The Republican leads of 6, 7, and 10 points this month are all higher than any previous midterm Republican advantage in Gallup's history of tracking the generic ballot, which dates to 1942. Prior to this year, the highest such gap was five points, measured in June 2002 and July 1994. Elections in both of these years resulted in significant Republican gains in House seats.

COMMENT:  Bill Kristol estimates that a six-point lead would translate into a pickup of about 60 seats for the GOP.  A ten-point lead?  The results could be dazzling.

A reminder:  The election won't be held for another two months.  The Democrats haven't yet informed the American voters that the Republicans will take away their children and sell them to oil companies.

August 30, 2010